May 17, 2019

The 2019 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: Penn State ESSC Forecast

ESSC scientist Dr. Michael E. Mann, alumnus Dr. Michael Kozar, and researcher Sonya K. Miller have released their seasonal prediction for the 2019 North Atlantic hurricane season, which officially starts on June 1st and runs through November 30th.
April 27, 2018

The 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: Penn State ESSC Forecast

ESSC scientists Michael Mann, alumnus Michael Kozar, and researcher Sonya K. Miller have released their seasonal prediction for the 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane season, which officially tarts on June 1st and runs through November 30th.
October 25, 2017

Impact of climate change on New York City’s coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE

Dr. Andra J. Reed has published a paper with Dr. Michael Mann, Dr. Richard Alley, Dr. David Pollard, and others about the likelihood of more frequent flooding in the New York City region due to climate change and storm surge from tropical systems.
August 19, 2017

Record Temperature Streak Bears Anthropogenic Fingerprint

Dr. Michael E. Mann, Sonya K. Miller, Stefan Rahmstorf, Byron A. Steinman, and Martin Tingley conducted a study that proved that human caused warming likely led to the recent streak of record-breaking temperatures.
July 27, 2017

Allowable ‘carbon ‘budget most likely overestimated

A recent article published in Nature Climate Change examines the definition of the "pre-industrial" baseline used for climate change discussions and projections. The group, including ESSC director Dr. Michael Mann, posits that the actual "pre-industrial" era is much earlier than the one used by the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC). Changing the baseline could have an impact on targets used in agreements like the Paris Climate Accords.
March 30, 2017

Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave Resonance and Extreme Weather Events

Michael E. Mann, distinguished professor of atmospheric science at Penn State University, completed research with Stefan Rahmstorf, Kai Kornhuber and Dim Coumou to demonstrate a direct link between climate change and a large family of extreme recent weather events.
September 6, 2016

Global climate models do not easily downscale for regional predictions

Dr. Mann and Dr. Fuqing Zhang both professors of meteorology at The Pennsylvania State University were concerned that the direct use of climate model output would produce inaccurate information. They focused on temperature and precipitation in their research on global climate models.
September 28, 2015

NYC risks future flooding during hurricanes

Mann Research Group graduate student Andra Reed has a new article in theProceedings of the National Acadamies of Sciences about the impact of climate change on coastal flooding due the combined effect of storm surges from stronger hurricanes and sea level rise. Dr. Michael Mann was a co-author on the paper.